Friday, November 11, 2016

Crystal ball not included . . .


I remember some ten or so years ago being in a hotel in Donegal on a Sunday morning, and a guy going ballistic at the desk over his stuff being stolen.  He was a participant in a psychic fair that was being held in the hotel, and during the night someone had broken in and pocketed his wares.  And the first thing that struck me at the time was: ‘Why did he not see it coming?’
Now the modern liberal movement, which has its roots primarily in the French Revolutionary period, with the latter’s deification of the goddess ‘Reason’, has something of the same problem.  The motto of modern liberalism, indeed, of all liberalism, is perhaps best summed up in the ridiculous battle cry from that ridiculous film 300: ‘This day we rescue a world from mysticism and tyranny and usher in a future brighter than anything we can imagine.’
That being the case, and given the enormous claims being made for Reason, one has to ask the question: How do they manage to still get things wrong?  For example, why do they lose elections, if everything is calculated on the basis of strict and unarguable reasoning?
The reason of course lies in the assumptions on which each process of reasoning is based.  Every process of reasoning has to have a starting point, a belief about the world from which one argues forward.  And it is these beliefs, these assumptions, which provide the Achilles heel of the whole rationalist movement.
Processes of reason are merely tools, effective only to the extent that they are in any particular instance rooted in reality.  And the fact is there is very little, if anything, that can be said about the world that is and must be true in any and every circumstance.  At best, it is a matter of percentages.
In the main, at the root of individual logical processes one finds assumptions that, especially in the case of liberals etc., are fundamentally emotional.  Rather than embracing what they believe to be a scientific view of the world, people are in fact feeding an emotional hunger in themselves. At the start of each chain of reasoning there is an emotional attachment, whether realised or not, and more often than not it is not realised.  Then reason is introduced as a trellis to help train the weak plant up.
A good indication of this is the TV coverage of tears flowing in the Clinton camp in wake of the defeat, and also the childish rioting and demonstrating that came after it.  No evidence of rationality or scientific detachment here—something which would have factored in the possibility of defeat in advance—but rather the expression of disappointed hopes.  Much like a football fan after a losing derby.